![]() LOS 24 (e) Describe approaches for forecasting FCFF and FCFE. A forecast of after-tax operating margin or profit margin is required when forecasting FCFF by forecasting its components. A forecast sales growth rate is required when forecasting FCFF by forecasting its components.Ĭ is incorrect. The tax rate is not an input required when forecasting the FCFF, especially when an analyst already has the after-tax operating margin or profit margin.ī is incorrect. Forecasted after-tax operating margin or profit margin.Which of the following is least likely a required input when forecasting FCFF? Incremental fixed capital investments as a proportion of sales increases are computed as:.Incremental fixed capital investments and incremental working capital investments are estimated by multiplying their past proportion to sales increases by the projected sales increases. An estimate of the relationship between working capital investments and an increase in sales.įCFF is forecasted as EBIT (1−Tax rate) less incremental fixed capital investments and incremental working capital investments.An estimate of the relationship of incremental fixed capital investments and increase in sales.Forecasts of the after-tax operating margin or profit margin. FCF Cash from Operations Capital Expenditure There are two types of free cash flow: Free cash flow to the firm Also called unlevered FCF.If depreciation reflects the annual cost for maintaining the existing capital, the incremental fixed capital investments should be related to the capital expenditures required for growth.The debt ratio would then be the percentage of net new investments in fixed capital and working capital financed by debt. The debt ratio is also assumed to remain constant.Investments in fixed capital above depreciation (Fixed capital investments – Depreciation) and investments in working capital both bear a constant relationship to forecast increases in sales. Determination of the present value of the free cash flows over the explicit forecast period (from i1 to iN) 3.Sales-Based Forecasting MethodĪ central assumption of the sales-based forecasting method is: This is a more complicated approach.ĮBITcan be forecasted by forecasting sales and a firm’s EBIT margin based on historical data and the current and expected economic environment.Ĭapital needs ( fixed capital investments and working capital investments) can be forecast based on the historical relationship between increases in sales and investments in fixed and working capital, both of which bear a relationship with a firm’s sales. Forecasting some components of free cash flow: These components are EBIT(1−Tax), net non-cash charges, fixed capital investments, working capital investments.This would be appropriate if the historical free cash flow has been growing at a constant rate, which is expected to continue in the future. Applying a constant growth rate to the current free cash flow:This assumes the historical growth rate will apply to the future.There are two approaches used to forecast FCFF and FCFE: 'Cash Flows Valuation Using Capital Cash Flow Method Comparing It with Free Cash Flow Method and Adjusted Present Value Method in Companies Listed on Tehran Stock Exchange,' Business Intelligence.
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